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> Tom Schnieder’s ‘the And-multiplication Error’ Article Refuted

 
Apr 21 2005, 01:14 PM
Post #21
Fred Williams
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From the ‘Does Dna Contain A Code?’ topic:

QUOTE
QUOTE(Modulous @ Apr 20 2005, 05:38 AM)

What "usual probability multiplication error" are you referring to?
Fred


Its the error of assuming the probability of subsequent events happening is independant of the previous events. I assume this is what he is referring to. Its the old 'Boeing in Junkyard" argument. There are some good articles about it around and about. Try this one

Multiplication Error

...As a brief summary- Schneider sets up his ev program so that it cuts selection out of the picture. The result is no information increase (the actual result is 0.00e+00 +/- 4.66e-10). As soon as selection is introduced...information content increases. This would seem to indicate that selection is extraordinarily important.


The Claim

Some time ago Dr Tom Schneider wrote the paper ‘Evolution of Biological Information', only to have it thoroughly refuted by Dr Royal Truman (link). In Schnieder’s response, he offered very little in defense other than an article he wrote for the internet 'The AND-Multiplication Error' (Dr. Schnieder’s excuse for his scant rebuttal was “I have other things to work on”! (see link).

Several evolutionists have latched on to this defense, essentially parroting Schneider without realizing the speciousness of the article.

The illusion

It turns out the only defense Schneider offered is built on illusion. It is a strawman argument, followed by invalid assumptions on population genetics that have no support from even evolutionist journals!

Schneider writes “The multiplication rule does not apply to biological evolution”.

For starters, almost all of the protein chain calculations used by creationists are used to refute abiogenesis. Evolutionists love to point out time and time again how “evolution” is not abiogenesis! If we are to accept the evolutionists complaint and keep these two separate (IMO this an equivocation, but that’s another debate), then the evolutionist is forced to admit that Schnieder has erected a strawman!

He then writes: “We then find the card that has the most coins with heads up and we throw away all the other cards. So if even one card has an extra head, it will be found… That is what happens in nature.”

This is not true and easily disproved. This is called “truncation selection”, which doesn’t happen in nature! Aside from common sense, we can establish this using evolutionist’s own words from their journals [1] and from it’s absence from college textbooks. Truncation selection would be a powerful mechanism, but it only happens with man-made intervention like artificial selection (that’s the only time you’ll see it mentioned in the college biology books), or in programs like Dr. Schneider’s (thus one of many reasons his program is bogus). He tried to sneak it past us with the just-so statement “that is what happens in nature”, but there is not even the smallest shred of evidence this is true. It is an illusion masquerading as “science”.

To further enhance the illusion, he mentions the dandelion. The fact that a dandelion can maintain or increase it’s population rapidly due to huge numbers of progeny, has absolutely nothing to do with truncation selection! This was a remarkably short-sighted analogy by Schnieder, and I suspect evolutionists would have a hard time finding even one population geneticist to agree that this somehow supports truncation selection!

Conclusion

In summary, while it is true that the Multiplication Rule requires the events to be independent, Schnieder uses the argument as a strawman (if you accept the evolutionist terminology that differentiates between evolution and abiogenesis). He ends with amazingly naïve assumptions about population genetics that are not even remotely true, assumptions that have no support even from evolutionist literature.

Fred Williams

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[1] Schnieder applies extreme truncation selection. A less severe version of truncation selection is essentially called "synergistic epistasis", and even evidence for it is scant: “Although there is some theoretical support for synergistic epistasis (Szathmary 1993; Peck and Waxman 2000), there is little experimental support for this type of gene interaction (Willis 1993; Elena and Lenski 1997).” - Agrawal and Chasnov 2001. Also, “Current evidence is equivocal as to whether the required levels of epistasis exist.” - Siller 2001

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Posts in this topic
Fred Williams   Tom Schnieder’s ‘the And-multiplication Error’ Article Refuted   Apr 21 2005, 01:14 PM
Modulous   I think the program is meant to show information i...   Apr 21 2005, 02:14 PM
92g   I need a little help with this. He seems to be tr...   Apr 21 2005, 02:35 PM
Modulous   I think the 'goal' is to make least ...   Apr 21 2005, 02:42 PM
92g   Maybe you need to have a discussion with Mr. An...   Apr 21 2005, 03:53 PM
chance   I am just researching into this, so I don’t hav...   Apr 21 2005, 02:54 PM
Fred Williams   It’s been some time since I looked at Tom's ...   Apr 24 2005, 08:57 PM
Paul C. Anagnostopoulos   Ev starts with a population of creatures with rand...   Apr 21 2005, 05:13 PM
92g   It attempts to show the change in the informatio...   Apr 21 2005, 05:30 PM
Fred Williams   No, it doesn't. I would be surprised if he s...   Apr 24 2005, 09:07 PM
Paul C. Anagnostopoulos   It attempts to show the change in the information ...   Apr 21 2005, 06:12 PM
92g   One can only believe that if he has time to pay at...   Apr 21 2005, 07:46 PM
Modulous   Somebody might have sent him an email. I doubt h...   Apr 22 2005, 02:07 AM
Paul C. Anagnostopoulos   I sent him an email. ~~ Paul   Apr 22 2005, 05:57 AM
Paul C. Anagnostopoulos   I did not say it evolved a/the genetic code. No on...   Apr 25 2005, 08:33 AM
Fred Williams   What is the syntax? What is the meaning attached...   Apr 25 2005, 10:46 AM
Paul C. Anagnostopoulos   A codon is not syntax. It's just a "word...   Apr 25 2005, 04:44 PM
Fred Williams   Yes, there is. In programming, while syntax enco...   Apr 28 2005, 08:59 AM
Calipithecus   I don't see how you figure that. Can you prov...   Apr 28 2005, 12:12 PM
Paul C. Anagnostopoulos   Schneider thinks a code evolves, albeit a very sim...   Apr 25 2005, 05:19 PM
Fred Williams   I'd love to see Tom put that in writing some...   Apr 28 2005, 09:07 AM
Modulous   I think there is a little bit of confusing terms h...   Apr 29 2005, 05:32 AM
Fred Williams   No, it doesn't, it's an illusion. The il...   Apr 29 2005, 04:35 PM
Modulous   Its not masquerading. If you look at the paper i...   Apr 30 2005, 04:16 AM
Paul C. Anagnostopoulos   More comments from Tom Schneider: http://www.lecb...   May 2 2005, 06:36 AM
George R   As a courtesy I can add that the very long list...   May 6 2005, 05:22 PM
George R   This is a telling comment from any designer of a...   May 6 2005, 05:41 PM
92g   Excellent points...:) Terry   May 6 2005, 05:45 PM
92g   I don't think he understands the complaint. ...   May 6 2005, 05:39 PM
Modulous   That's fine, really. The program isn't ...   May 6 2005, 11:24 PM
Paul C. Anagnostopoulos   If I tell you that my model of the real world cont...   May 7 2005, 08:12 AM
Paul C. Anagnostopoulos   And the entire idea is only interesting if the de...   May 7 2005, 08:16 AM
Modulous   Then maybe I missed a major part of his paper. W...   May 7 2005, 08:40 AM
Paul C. Anagnostopoulos   He says nothing about it in the paper. He said it ...   May 7 2005, 04:11 PM
92g   From Schneider's quotes above: Terry   May 7 2005, 06:57 PM
Paul C. Anagnostopoulos   Correct, it does not evolve something like the ext...   May 8 2005, 06:06 AM
Fred Williams   Before I critique the latest comments, I want to q...   May 8 2005, 05:59 PM
Paul C. Anagnostopoulos   There is another way to look at this. Consider the...   May 8 2005, 06:25 PM
Paul C. Anagnostopoulos   He continues to ignore the fact that his program u...   May 8 2005, 06:41 PM
Fred Williams   My two examples [b]also do not have the target ...   May 13 2005, 09:31 PM
Modulous   What information is there from the start? Th...   May 13 2005, 10:24 PM
Fred Williams   As I said a few posts ago (Post #37), “Schneider...   May 14 2005, 06:56 AM
Modulous   Rsequence (information in binding sites) starts ...   May 14 2005, 07:35 AM
Fred Williams   [/quote] That’s a fair question. First, the proc...   May 13 2005, 09:33 PM
Paul C. Anagnostopoulos   Are you saying that the information does not find...   May 14 2005, 07:38 AM
Paul C. Anagnostopoulos   The interesting issue here is that of the informat...   May 14 2005, 07:43 AM
Paul C. Anagnostopoulos   Is your objection to the program the fact that Rfr...   May 14 2005, 07:50 AM
Fred Williams   It was brought to my attention that Dr Schnieder r...   Jun 1 2005, 04:27 PM


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